In
this newsletter we will start by breaking down the 2014
vs. 2013 numbers, then we will give you a look at
the final stats for the closing quarter of the year and
how 4Q-2014 compared to both the prior quarter
and the same quarter a year ago .
As
we have noted in our past two newsletters,
total $ volume numbers in the second half of 2014 have
been impacted by Go
Daddy/Afternic (one of the largest aftermarket sales
platforms) discontinuing their sales reports after the
first week in June - an unfortunate side effect of the mandatory
quiet period that accompanied Go Daddy's IPO
application. As a result we have had to estimate Go
Daddy/Afternic (GD/A) sales numbers since early June in
order to get a better handle on how this year's sales
compared to 2013 when they were reporting. We do know
that the average sales they were reporting to us this
year before entering the quiet period were approximately
$2.6 million monthly. By adding their average
figures to our totals from all other venues over the
second half of the year we were able to arrive at a
pretty accurate estimate of what the numbers were across
the board.
For
example, The total dollar sales volume across all
extensions reported to us in 2013 was $101.9 million.
Even without GD/A sales since early June, $101.3
million in sales were reported in 2014. When you
take GD/A's average sales (as reported up to early June)
and extrapolate those through the balance of the year,
that is another $17.5 million that went
unreported, making the estimated industry wide total $118.8
million, a solid 16.5% increase over
2013.
The
story is almost the same when you break out .coms only.
$79.9 million in .com sales were reported in
2013. In 2014, with less than six months of GD/A sales
included, the number was almost the same - $79.1
million. However, when you add in GD/A's average
.com sales from the period when they were reporting, we
know they had about $13 million in unreported
.com sales - bringing the total to $92.1 million
- a 15% jump over 2013.
Domains
image from Bigstock |
The
country code category did not see a
significant increase in their total $ volume. $13.3
million in ccTLD sales were reported in 2013
with $13.05 million reported in 2014. The
ccTLDs do not get a big boost from a GD/A add-in
because their platform produces few ccTLD sales
(as the category is dominated by Sedo). There
would have been a slight boost from GD/A but just
enough to leave both years at about the same
level.
The
non .com gTLDs did see an increase, even without
GD/A numbers added in - moving up from $8.6
million in 2013 to $9.1 million in 2014
- however that number is deceiving. Almost a third
of the category's total came from one sale
- Sex.xxx at $3 million last June.
However, this group would have looked even
stronger with the GD/A numbers for the second half
of the year as a lot of non .com gTLD domains are
sold there.
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While
the GD/A situation prevents us from pinning down exact
numbers for total $ volume, it hasn't prevented us from
nailing down another important metric - median
domain sales prices (the point at which half
of all sales were higher and half were lower). As
further evidence of a market rebound median prices were
up across the board.
In
looking at medians, as always, we want to remind your that in order to keep our weekly
domain sales
reports at a manageable length, we do
not track sales below four figures (to be
specific, we track .com sales of $2,000 and up and
all other TLDs from $1,000 and up). So our median
numbers would be lower if we also tracked the
bottom end of the market. Conversely, our total $
volume number would be higher).
The
median price reported to us across all extensions was $3,000
in 2014 up a very healthy 9% from the $2,750
reported in 2013 (it takes a a lot to move medians so
their increases/decreases tend to be small - often on
the order of 1-2%). For .coms only, the median
price rose from $3,180 in 2013 to $3,500
in 2014 - a 10% jump. For the ccTLDs
medians were up from $1,958 in 2013 to $1,990
in 2014 and the non .com gTLDs also rose, going
from $1,888 in 2013 to $2,010 in 2014.
To
complete the picture, let's take a look now at the
closing quarter of 2014. Again, with GD/A absent for
more than half the year, the $ volume numbers are off
but in most cases if GD/A had reported, they would have
been up against the previous year. Comparisons against
the previous quarter don't have such a handicap because
GD/A did not report in either quarter.
For
all extensions combined, Total $ Volume stayed
almost even from 3Q-2014 ($20.1 million) to
4Q-2014 ($19.7 million). In the same
quarter a year ago, volume was $26.9 million
with GD/A reporting. If GD/A had reported even
their average sales in 4Q-2014 that would have
been another $7.8 million, pushing the 2014
total past 2013.
For
.coms only 4Q-2014 volume surpassed the
previous quarter, moving up from $15.5 million
to $16.4 million. The other two categories,
perhaps affected by the arrival of new gTLDS,
were both down against the previous quarters (as
well as against the same quarter a year ago due
partly to the GD/A absence this year). The ccTLDs
slipped to $2.25 million in 4Q-2014 from $3.3
million in 3Q-2014 and from $3.6 million
in 4Q-2013. The non .com gTLDs managed just
$1 million in 4Q-2014, down from $1.4
million the previous quarter and $2.1 million
in the same quarter a year ago (when GD/A was
reporting).
The
4Q-2014 median prices were a mixed bag with
3Q-2014 medians higher than 4Q-2014 medians in
most categories. For all
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Image
from Bigstock |
extensions
combined the 4Q-2014 median was $2,859,
down from $3,000 the previous quarter but
about the same as the $2,900 median a year
ago. For .coms only the 4Q-2014 median was $3,600,
down considerably from $4,410 in 3Q-2014
but up from the $3,395 posted in 4Q-2013.
For the ccTLDs, the 4Q-2014 median was $1,874,
down from $1,935 in 3Q-2014 and from $1,958
a year ago. Oddly enough, the non .com
gTLDs (the poorest performing category in $
volume terms) was the only group to see its median
rise both quarter to quarter and year over
year. Their 4Q-2014 number of $2,500 was up
over 10% from $2,200 in 3Q-2014 and above
the $1,995 registered in 4Q-2013. |
With
the full year wind at its back the domain aftermarket
enters the new year with momentum on its side. We'll be
here to let you know how it shakes out weekly
and quarter by quarter as the year goes on.
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